Decision Tree Analysis for Making Decision Under Uncertainty

Why Decision Tree Analysis? Product Development: Before discussing anything on product development let us discuss what is the product? Precisely, a product is ‘Any Thing or Things produced’. More precisely, as per engineering and manufacturing perspective, products are purchased as a raw material and sold as finished goods. In a real world, Product can be tangible or intangible. […]
How to Perform PERT Analysis Manually

One – Point estimation reflects one value per activity. It is based on expert judgement, experience, expert opinion or historical information. Fear of padding is always a major concern with one-point estimation. Also, it does not reflect risk or uncertainty associated to schedule or cost estimation. Therefore, Three-point (3) estimation is preferred for activity duration […]